Fantasy Points Per Attempt measures quarterback fantasy points in the context of passing opportunities by dividing total fantasy points by passing attempts. PointsBet is our Official Sports Betting Partner and we may receive compensation if you place a bet on PointsBet for the first time after clicking our links. Burst Score indicates a players zero-inertia explosiveness (stop-and-start acceleration) and ability to catch the ball outside the body. He earned the "Now I have to go back and watch the tape" award. Players with poor scores by both production and athleticism almost never did anything meaningful for fantasy teams. Advanced Stats Glossary of Terms - PlayerProfiler Follow him on Twitter @HaydenWinks. Give the RAS calculator a try and view the score! 2022 NFL Draft Positional Rankings, Per Analytics (Offense) is going to be wholly arbitrary. Quarterback breakout ages are determined by their age when they first posted a QBR of 50 or higher in a college season, and quarterbacks must average 20 or more action plays per team game played to qualify. Just note, I was primarily shooting for only the most favorable comparisons in each instance. How to read this: Jeffrey Okudah is a 96th percentile Adjusted SPARQ athlete.. Accuracy Rating grades the accuracy each of throw on a 1-10 scale. A recording is played, giving instruction, and the athlete(s) must proceed to run 20meters at the sound of a beep. Rondale Moores 6.68 ranks 50th-best. This number measures a players short area quickness and balance and correlates with an ability to avoid tackles and compile yards before contact. Positive values indicate that a player is more efficient than the average player, while negative values indicate that a player is less efficient than his peers with similar opportunities in similar situations. And he also has projected draft capital working in his favor (WR7, Round 2). 1-3 representing the most errand throw, 4-7 representing throws in some range of catchable but sub-optimal, and 8-10 representing the most pinpoint passes allowing receivers to convert receptions and gain yards after the catch. At 210 pounds, Kene Nwangwus 121.71 Speed Score ranks best in this class and 15th-best since 2000, just ahead of Jonathan Taylor (121.70). High week-to-week volatility negatively impacts standard league formats that require lineups to be manually set each week. How to read this: Jabari Zuniga is a 90th percentile Adjusted SPARQ athlete.. also, how not having that bend can hinder even an athletic freak like Dupree. Hell join a team in 2021, but its unlikely he ever contributes beyond special teams, Strachan is the biggest WR in this class at 65 and 226 lbs but also one of the oldest (23.7). And in neither instance were those career-high marks. He led Stanford in receiving yards last season, recording over twice as many as the next-closest receiver (33.3% YMS). The reason its not very helpful as a predictor is because its measuring overall athleticism, not the exact athletic traits a prospect needs to play his position in the NFL. He averaged 7.9 rushing FPG in 2020 after averaging 5.3 rushing FPG across his first two seasons. SPARQ scores 2019 - 247sports.com The depth of the box is six yards from the line of scrimmage. He played off the ball very well in the Shrine Game, and it was good to see that versatility, considering the Steelers go to it. Trevor Lawrence averaged 8.1 rushing FPG and 39.9 rushing YPG over his last two seasons at Clemson. He's one of the rare outside WRs in this class, with 98% of his career receiving yards coming out wide. Tremble has decent size (at 63, 241 pounds) and is easily the best run blocker in this class, but hes also a player every production model is going to miss on. The SPARQ Magazine (Summer of 2008) also noted that the highest Basketball SPARQ Apr 21st 2022. This then becomes SPARQ points to be added to the score. Josh Imatorbhebhes 180.5 burst score ranks 5th-best since 2000. The far majority of RBs, WRs, and TEs who posted a great production score in college and a great athleticism score at the Combine were great players for fantasy. How to read this: Danny Pinter is a 94th percentile adjusted SPARQ athlete.. The formulas for Adjusted SPARQ change by position -- and sometimes even within positions (RB, WR) -- to put the proper weight on the athletic traits that have historically been better at predicting success in the NFL. Additionally, the metric is calibrated to give Vertical Jump and Broad Jump equal weight. WebIt consists of 50 multiple choice questions to be answered in 12 minutes. Hes actually a full year younger than I thought he was. Donations like these helped give me the support I needed to provide online every player with a qualified RAS, but if we can get more then I may be able to set up the site to allow you to search more dynamically and even run cards of your own directly from the site. Elijah Mitchell skyrocketed up my ranking with an elite SPORQ score (94.9). Overall, this tight end class sucks. His SPORQ score of 87.1 ranks 11th-best in the class. Note that the NFL% and z-score columns refer to the NFL positional averages and not to the draft positional averages. The Agility Shuttle is a shuttle run in which an athlete must run 5yards, touch an object or mark, proceed to run 10yards in the opposite direction and touch a second object or mark. For perspective, fellow Division II WRs Adam Thielen, Tyreek Hill, and John Brown never eclipsed 100.0 YPG in a single season, Imatorbhebhe is a 23.0-year-old former 4-star recruit, who transferred to Illinois from USC after coming away with just two catches in three injury-plagued seasons. And then a far less-exciting Little 3, consisting of Gainwell, Carter, and Sermon. Body Mass Index (BMI) formerly referred to as the Quetelet Index, BMI dates to the 19th century and provides a simple numeric measure of a person's thickness or thinness. Zeirlien also highlights his bend saying : Helus snap share was not significantly less than Morris, but Washington gave the majority of opportunities to Morris, while Helu was asked to do a lot of blitz pickup work as opposing defenses relentlessly blitzed Robert Griffin III when Helu was on the field. Man, what an absolute freak of nature. Negative values indicate a player underperformed touchdown expectations due to inefficient play and bad luck. He, alongside a few other of the industrys best talent evaluators and NFL Draft prognosticators, played a key role in helping me calculate an important but ultimately minor variable in this phase of the process expected draft capital. Javonte Williams (67.3), Kenneth Gainwell (51.8), and Michael Carter (62.2) all retain their rankings, though Gainwells score was a bit underwhelming. Individuals with high BMIs tend to be built more like a bowling ball, an ideal stature for an NFL running back. Kyle Pitts and Jacob Harris both ran a 4.40 40-yard-dash at their respective Pro Days. Target Quality combines catchable targets with average target depth putting a premium on deep, catchable targets and discounting shorter, uncatchable passes. WebThe SPARQ is a rating system designed to measure sport-specific athleticism. Wex might be right. Last season, among all Power-5 WRs, he ranked behind only Jaylen Waddle in yards after the catch per reception (9.0). People want to cast him as an off-ball LB because he plays so well in coverage, but he can hold the point and rush the passer. WebThis week the NFL Draft 2021: The Latest Picks and Analysis; An analysis on Kwity Paye; The Kansas City Chiefs return to the Super Bowl for the first time since 1969; Chicago You can search for any player At the end of the day, Smith dropped a tier in my overall rankings but still ranks as my WR2 in this class. But he does have projected draft capital on his side (Dane Brugler is projecting Round 2 or Round 3). Scores under 20 indicate that a player may be challenged to process information on-the-fly. Stuck in a RBBC at Louisiana, my Pre-Combine model didnt love his lack of production or the fact that hes from a small school, but he flashed in a number of important efficiency metrics. SPARQ Rating System - Topend Sports Both Matt Ryan and Giovanni Carmazza scored a 32. Since 2000, only two WRs have recorded a better time at the NFL Combine: Donte Stallworth and John Ross, both at 4.22. We hope you're enjoying this old content for FREE. Jake Funks 6.71 3-Cone ranks 13th-best since 2000, and, if weight-adjusted, 15th-best since 2000. Ezra Cleveland, Austin Jackson, Jedrick Wills, and Andrew Thomas were great athletes, too Joshua Jones was the only highly-respected OT prospect to finish as an average athlete, but he should still pass most athletic thresholds. That said, I dont think we should be trusting these numbers. Elijah Mitchell and Travis Etienne both posted a broad jump of 128, which ranks 22nd-best since 2000. This means that a 0.0 z-score and True Yards Per Carry popularized by Zach Krueger in a piece written for PlayerProfiler, True YPC discounts all runs greater than 10 yards. He ended that season totaling 568 yards from scrimmage and seven total touchdowns, which compared favorably to fourth-year junior Darius Slaytons 670 yards and five touchdowns. Chase (3.99) is one of only 39 WRs to post a short shuttle time under 4.00. In the Kneeling Power Ball Toss, an athlete must kneel with both knees on a flat surface while raising a 2 or 3 kilogram medicine / power ball over their head. Well built and very athletic. Elite athleticism and has the production. His incredible flexion might just be the thing that sets him apart. Mitchell's 40 time, coupled with his performances in the vertical jump, the agility shuttle and the kneeling power ball toss, earned him a score of 154.47, which earned Saddled with poor QB-play, Collins didnt do much in three seasons at Michigan, before sitting out in 2020, totaling just 78 catches, 1,388 yards, and 13 scores over this span. What wildly increased his value was putting on 21 pounds since the end of the season and then posting the numbers he did with that extra weight. Jermar Jefferson (ADP: RB6), my Pre-Combine RB6, posted a 32.2 SPORQ score. Blaine Gabbert crushed the Wonderlic with a score of 42, so he has that going for him. The reason its not very helpful as a predictor is because its measuring overall athleticism, not the exact athletic traits a prospect needs to play his position in the NFL. SPARQ developed a training network made up of over 750 SPARQ Certified Trainers located throughout the country who are both independent coaches and trainers at chain performance centers. Light Front - six or less defenders in the box. Overall, this offensive tackle class is awesome, especially at the top All of the first round prospects finished as above-average athletes, including Mekhi Becton (100th percentile) and Tristan Wirfs (97th) who were breathtakingly fast for their size. Metcalf. How to read this: Kyle Duggar is a 99th percentile Adjusted SPARQ athlete.. You can view more current content marked with a FREE banner, But I kept these numbers the same partly because you can adjust them from here on your own if you so choose. Yards Created are accrued after the running back's first evaded tackle. Hes jumped from WR9 in my rankings to WR7. Sage Surratt (ADP: WR20) posted a 3.2 SPORQ score. Less than 20% is a red flag. This metric is especially useful when examining the impact of a quarterback upgrade on a wide receivers future production. This means that a 0.0 z-score and 50.0 percentile would represent a player who rates as a league-average NFL athlete at the position. Zeirlien also highlights his bend saying : " Tremendous lower-body flexion for 45-degree edge bend ", We've seen how important having that bend around the corner can be, and. Total Best Ball Points Added aggregates a player's total points scored above this quantified weekly threshold over the course of the season. And then theres another big tier drop, where everyone after that 2nd tier is even more uninspiring and unexciting. All of the size-related concerns with Smith are an even bigger issue for Tutu Atwell (59, 155 pounds, 22.9 BMI). Is there a player youd like to check that you cant find on the site? the test is completed, is what is measured. Happy Draft Week 2023! Its a piece of the puzzle. He set it with a score of 154.47. Lifetime Value The featured player valuation metric on Dynasty Dominator mobile app, RotoUnderworld's Lifetime Value approximates a player's fantasy points scoring potential above replacement for the remainder of their career. His placement in mocks goes from top ten to second round. Remarkably, Kene Nwangwu actually bested Mitchells mark with a 4.31 40-yard-dash. Expected Touchdown Differential the difference between expected and actual touchdowns scored. The breakout age for wide receivers is defined by their age at the beginning of the college football season when they first posted a Dominator Rating at or above 20% (unless an or other extenuating circumstances prevented the player from playing a full complement of offensive snaps). Hog Rate captures the rate of passing game utilization on a per play basis by calculating the number of targets per snap. They must proceed to thrust outward, landing in a push-up position. Watch live streaming. However, a bulk of his production came on the ground. Follow him on Twitter @HaydenWinks. Looks explosive. 2020 Adjusted SPARQ Scores (Offense) | NFL Draft Preview Components. Brown was compared favorably to Stefon Diggs by Dane Brugler and was projected by Mel Kiper Jr. to be selected early in Round 2 (WR8). Snap Share The percentage of total offensive plays that the player was on the field for his team. Larry Rountree (ADP: RB17) posted a 7.6 SPORQ score. Anthony Schwartz ran a 4.25 40-yard-dash at his Pro Day. Stacked Front - eight or more defenders in the box. Some of the products by SPARQ included medicine balls, agility drills, parachutes, slidesteppers, and hurdles.[3]. Jeudy's 105 SPARQ is, for example, 7% worse than Stuck behind David Montgomery and then Breece Hall at Iowa State, Nwangwu didnt see very many touches (career-high 64 touches in 2020), but was efficient on those touches (5.2 career YPC). This total Lifetime Value is also discounted based on the age-based production curve outlined in the Dynasty Dominator Guide enhancing the value the most precocious players such as Saquon Barkley and JuJu Smith-Schuster. Their time is measured in seconds and transferred into SPARQ Points. Overall, athleticism is still just a small part of a prospects total profile, but I prefer Adjusted SPARQ to other composite athletic scores. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, please call 1-800-GAMBLER. " Tremendous lower-body flexion for 45-degree edge bend ". 1 WR and/or a high caliber contributor. SPARQ's headquarters was in Portland, Oregon, with a distribution center in Oconomowoc, Wisconsin, until its sale to Nike in 2009 (Nike kept the distribution center open in Oconomowoc until March 2010). Tommy Tremble was missing from our Pre-Combine top-7. He'd be a good candidate to send to Deebo Tylan Wallace (ADP: WR9) posted a 42.0 SPORQ score. I severely penalized him for that fact and that appeared to be the right move my Pre-Combine model said he was deserving of a Round 1 or Round 2 pick, but he was ultimately drafted in Round 5. SPARQ input factors are 40-yard dash, vertical jump, 20-yard shuttle, and thepower ball throw. To qualify as a slot receiver on any given play, a receiver must be lined up inside and covered up by a outside receiver in either three or four-receiver sets. He'd be a good candidate to send to Deebo. Harris is pretty old as a prospect (Age: 24.0), and his production score was fairly underwhelming and especially so within that context. The question is, is that all there is to like with Collins? Zach Wilson averaged 38.4 (2018), then 33.7 (2019), and then 29.4 (2020) rushing YPG in each of his three seasons at BYU. According to my Pre-Combine Model, Pitts is the best TE prospect to come out since at least 2014, and maybe the best TE prospect ever. Jacob Harris 173.5 burst score ranks best ever by a TE, and would rank 17th-best among WRs. This would rank tied with Marshall for 2nd-best since 2000. However, his SPORQ score of 88.8 is highly encouraging, as is his projected draft capital (WR4, Round 1-2 per Dane Brugler). Juke Rate isolates a running backs elusiveness and tackle-breaking power by charting the number of broken, missed, and otherwise avoided tackles (displayed to the immediate left), and then dividing by the total number of touches (carries + receptions). His 10-yard split saved what wouldve been an even lower score. Metcalf (12.97), Chase Claypool (124.7), and Jazz Ferguson (115.8) since 2016. Since 2000, the only WR to weigh 175 pounds or less and post a 1,000-yard season is DeSean Jackson (169 pounds). DeVonta Smith on the other hand Smith elected not to workout at Alabamas Pro Day. I found this article very compelling, arguing that we should not adjust or devalue a players 2021s Pro Day numbers. VOS also incorporates a bust rate coefficient to throttleeach player'sVOS according to the fragility and subsequentuncertainty of forecasting the annual fantasy point output of players at his position. Although hes still RB2 behind Harris in my personal rankings, that gap is now slightly closer, and Etienne looks much more like the truly special RB prospect I thought he would be. By factoring out the disproportionate impact of long runs, the metric rewards running back consistency. Hell be a top-7 pick Kenneth Theres the Big 3, consisting of Harris, Etienne, and Williams. I liked the way Cominsky moved. Dantzler needs to improve his scores at his Pro Day or hes cancelled. The low BMI (23.1) is also a concern. WebIf you scroll to the right, there is a weighted Athletic Profile column. Definitely deserves a closer look. This service is intended for adult audiences. No guarantees are made for any specific outcome. Demetric Felton (ADP: RB15) posted a 1.3 SPORQ score. Players with one or the other (with production mattering more than athleticism) were somewhere in between. Travis Etienne (95.0) actually deserves a significant boost up my rankings. And then theres a big tier fall-off the Little 3 should all be selected within the mid-Round 2 to early-Round 3 range. To assist with site load times, the main page will now only show the 2023 class. Value Over Stream (VOS) The VOS metric calculates eachplayers fantasy points per game above the average waiver wire replacement in standard fantasy league formats during either the current or previousseason, depending on the time of year. Jaelon Darden (ADP: WR19) posted a 18.3 SPORQ score. Tremble is fairly athletic, posting a 76.3 SPORQ score, but isnt quite on Kittles level. Elijah Moore just missed the mark (4.00). The three other WRs all dropped in my rankings, but, interestingly, none fell too far. In North Carolinas run heavy offense, Brown hit 1,000 receiving yards in back-to-back seasons with 20+ yards per reception in both years. I think a year in an NFL weight room could turn him into a real player. Looking back at my top-5 RBs, all except Najee Harris (DNQ) hit the necessary thresholds to retain their rankings. The implication here is that Smith was worried a lackluster showing might have hurt his draft stock, which is to say a lackluster showing was somewhere between possible and probable. For QBs, PlayerProfiler adds a height premium. Note that the NFL% and z-score columns refer to the NFL positional averages and not to the draft positional averages. If Tremble is going to find fantasy success at the next level, hes going to have to be an outlier in the same way Drew Sample and George Kittle were (in college both were A+ blockers without much usage in the passing game). On the other hand, high volatility is preferred in best-ball formats that automatically set optimal weekly lineups. By incorporating avolatility-relatedcoefficient, VOS is the evolutionary next step in Value-based Drafting (VBD) and provide ahelpful guidepost to be utilized during fantasy football drafts. RASRelative Athletic Scores grade a player's And he can add more to that frame if needed. Ex. From an athletic-standpoint, only Vernon Davis ranks higher by SPORQ (of 375 qualifiers since 2000). Athletes scoring in But I doubt hell have the value one might expect of an EMU kid falling. Boyd, Felton, and Williams are now fully off my board. Still, his production profile is strong enough that he didnt at all fall in my rankings despite just missing the 50th percentile benchmark. One of my favorite day three players. All four WRs are expected to be off the board by the end of Round 3. Hayden Winks is an NFL and NFL Draft writer for NBC Sports Edge. Since 2000, there have been only two WRs listed at 57 or shorter to record at least one season of 600 receiving yards or more: Taylor Gabriel and Andrew Hawkins. Hes 15 pounds lighter than Engram, who is the lightest TE in our database with at least one TE1 season. Going to look into him a bit more, but he played against weak competition. It's always interesting to dig into the SPARQ scores to back it up - even against top competition. Thanks for sharing. Remember NIKE developed the SPARQ with three goals in mind: 1) To sell stuff, 2) To You can find that stat and our historical Combine database here. After an elite showing at his Pro Day, recording a class-high 98.0 SPORQ score, I like Chase even more now, and I didnt even think that could be possible. What do you guys think about Brian Burns? Danny Pinter, Damien Lewis, and Matt Hennessy looked good out there But its important to remember that athleticism is a very small portion of an interior linemans total evaluation. Happy Draft Week 2023! We've seen how important having that bend around the corner can be, and Rondale Moore was heavily penalized due to his short stature (57), but helped make up some ground with some absurd numbers in the 40, Vert, 3-Cone, and Shuttle. I concluded the article saying basically this. It is derived by aggregating each players 40-yard Dash, Burst Score, and Agility Score, and then factors in a relevant measure of player size to ensure that big players receive a premium for speed, quickness and explosiveness. Kyle Pitts. This probably means hes not close to the prospect Montgomery was or that Hall is, but few are, Evans, a former 4-star prospect, started in only six of 42 career games, and will be 24 years old as a rookie in 2021. The tests were designed to test the skills and athleticism demanded by each sport. Hayden Winks. Fantasy Points Per Target measures wide receiver and tight end fantasy points in the context of the players opportunities. Dane Brugler is projecting him to be drafted in Round 6, a full round later than Harris. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. 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HaSS layers height into the traditional speed score equation by also dividing the players height by the average wide receiver height: 73.0 inches (61) or average tight end height: 76.4 inches (64 5/12'). Athletes scoring in the 30-50 range are considered smart. Game Script - First defined by Chase Stuart on his Football Perspective blog in his "Introducing Game Scripts" piece, game scripts are the average point differential at any point in any game that season. Elijah Moore and Jaelon Darden both recorded a 3-Cone of 6.67, which ranks 45th-best since 2000. The SPARQ was not created to measure athleticism in NFL prospects. The SPARQ Rating was a sport-specific assessment of athleticism. The values of all six data inputs are normalized to have equal weight. Green Flags (Is that the opposite of a red flag?). 2 corner in the class, especially after showcasing 92nd percentile adjusted athleticism. Weekly Volatility measures the level of week-to-week fantasy point scoring variance. Rondale Moores 42.5 ranks 11th-best. Running backs and wide receivers are held to a different standard as times of 4.50 or below are considered fast for RBs and WRs. But the main point is everyone calls him slight but no one has seen him play with the added weight. 'SPARQ' was an acronym it stands for: Speed, Power, Agility, Reaction and Quickness.[1]. No guarantees are made for any specific outcome. He isnt quite as unathletic as the other two, and he has better expected draft capital (RB7, Round 4) than either RB. Relative Athletic Scores grade a player's measurements on a 0 to 10 scale compared to their peer group. I urge you to review my Pre-Combine rankings and analysis, which you can read here. Adjusted Yards Per Attempt (AY/A) Modified yards per attempt incorporates a premium for touchdowns and a discount for interceptions. Thats where Adjusted SPARQ comes in. Run Blocking Efficiency combines yards blocked per carry and short yards success rate into a single measurement of run blocking effectiveness across a running back's rush attempts. The formulas for Adjusted SPARQ change by position -- and sometimes even within positions (RB, WR, DT, EDGE) -- to put the proper weight on the athletic traits that have historically been better at predicting success in the NFL. Chris Evans vert jump of 40.5 ranks 15th-best since 2000. It will help. Unlike running backs, weight and height are correlated to wide receiver and tight end production, because height expands the players catch radius. All have good projected draft capital behind them, and, interestingly, even Atwell. Expected Points Added (EPA) measures the value of individual plays by calculating the expected points scored based on the down, distance, and field position situation at the start of a play and contrasting it with the situation at the end of the play. Although Zach Wilson is a near-lock to be drafted second overall (and maybe even Mac Jones third overall), I have Fields right behind Lawrence as the QB2 in this class. The Big 3 RBs are all deserving of Round 1 picks in TE Premium Superflex Rookie Drafts. Who are some hyper-athletic sleepers we might have missed in our first series of articles? Demetric Felton (ADP: RB15), if listed as a WR, would have posted a 8.1 SPORQ score. Player Popularity Index measures how popular a player's page has been in the last 10 days. Weighted Opportunities surfaced by Scott Barrett in his work for Pro Football Focus, this metric calibrates total opportunities by discounting carries and enhancing the value of targets based on the average fantasy points generated by each type of touch. Had he been fully healthy and simply elected not to participate, he might have fallen in my rankings, but Im willing to accept this excuse and keep him ranked as the clear RB1 in this class. However, hes 22.8 years old and never ranked higher than 4th on the team in receiving yards prior to last season, McMath was a one-year starter for LSU, understandably buried in the depth chart behind some elite WRs. For example, it assigns a premium to a completed pass that earns a first down at the quarterback's own 20-yard-line with 30 seconds left in the game. Air Yards for quarterbacks, Air Yards is the total throw depth, and Completed Air Yards is total passing yards minus yards after the catch. Expected Touchdowns the total number of touchdowns the average NFL player would expect to score based on the field position and game situation of every pass attempt, touch, and target.
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